Antimalarials are not Effective as Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis for COVID-19: A Retrospective Matched Control Study

August 2023 | Volume 22 | Issue 8 | 840 | Copyright © August 2023


Published online July 31, 2023

Nikolai Klebanov MDa,b*, Vartan Pahalyants MD MBAa,b,c*, Jordan T. Said MDa,b, William. S. Murphy MD MBAa,b,c, Nicholas Theodosakis MD PhDa,b, Joseph Scarry MA, Stacey Duey d, Monina Klevens DDSe, Evelyn Lilly MDa^, Yevgeniy R. Semenov MD MAa^

aMassachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA 
bHarvard Medical School, Boston, MA 
cHarvard Business School, Boston, MA 
dDivision of Research Information Science and Computing, Mass General Brigham, Boston, MA 
eMassachusetts Department of Public Health, Bureau of Infectious Disease, and Laboratory Sciences, Boston, MA

* These authors contributed equally to this manuscript. 
^ These authors contributed equally to this manuscript.



codes. Massachusetts Department of Public Health and COVID-19 Dashboard provided data on COVID-19 diagnosis status, and baseline county rates, respectively. Patients with incomplete data, non-Massachusetts zip codes, and prescriptions for other immunomodulator drugs were excluded (see Supplemental Table at https://data.mendeley.com/datasets/5z2vdhzbs4/1). We used multivariable logistic regression to calculate the odds ratio (OR) of COVID-19 diagnosis by antimalarial exposure, adjusting for demographics, comorbidities, local infection rates, and specific conditions identified in early studies as risk factors for COVID-19.4,5 Pearson's chi-square and two-tailed t-tests were used for pairwise comparisons of categorical and continuous variables, respectively.

RESULTS

There were 3,074 patients with antimalarial prescriptions and 58,955 matched controls (Figure 1). Hydroxychloroquine represented 98.8% of antimalarial prescriptions (Table 1). There were 51 (1.7%) infections among antimalarial-exposed and 973 (1.6%) among controls. No protective effect for SARS-CoV-2 infection was demonstrated among antimalarial-exposed patients in the multivariate model (OR=1.06, 95% CI 0.80-1.40, P=0.70).

Ages 65-74 were less likely to have confirmed COVID-19 diagnosis than patients aged 18-44 years (OR=0.61 [0.48-0.79], P<0.001). Sex did not affect susceptibility (OR=1.05 [0.88-1.24], P=0.61). Black patients had a higher infection risk than white patients (OR=1.64 [1.35-1.98], P<0.001). Severe comorbidity burden also increased SARS-CoV-2 infection risk (OR=2.32 [1.92-2.81], P<0.001). Local infection rates predicted SARS-CoV-2 infection (OR=1.26 [1.21-1.32], P<0.001), while median income by zip code did not (OR=0.98 [0.96-1.01], P=0.18).

Among the comorbidities analyzed, hypertension (OR=1.41 [1.21-1.63], P<0.001), congestive heart failure (OR 1.75 [1.47-2.09], P<0.001), COPD (OR=1.23 [1.06-1.42], P=0.01), and renal disease (OR=1.23 [1.03-1.47], P=0.02) were identified as independent risk factors for COVID-19. Hematologic cancer (OR=0.62 [0.44-0.87], P=0.01), metastatic cancer (OR=0.59 [0.43-0.83], P<0.01), and rheumatic disease (OR=0.79 [0.62-0.99], P=0.05) were found to have a protective effect.

DISCUSSION

We found that pre-pandemic antimalarial prescriptions were not protective of COVID-19 diagnosis among queried individuals, consistent with past evidence demonstrating these agents’ lack of efficacy as post-exposure prophylaxis.3

Antimalarials are frequently used to manage chronic cutaneous and systemic autoimmune diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, lupus erythematosus, and juvenile idiopathic arthritis.6 Interestingly, we identified that a history of rheumatic disease - as well as hematologic cancer or metastatic cancer - was